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Frontiers in Immunology

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Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Frontiers in Immunology's content profile, based on 638 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.51% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Prognostic significance of the C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index in primary lung malignancies: a systematic review and meta-analysis with GRADE assessment

Shamohammadi, M.; Yarahmadi, D.; Naseri Rad, F.; Patel, I.; Yarahmadi, M.; Rashidi, A.; Yarahmadi, A.; Kordestani Moghadam, P.; Naghavi, N.

2026-10-20 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365819 medRxiv
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Background: The C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index integrates systemic inflammation, nutritional status, and immune function. We evaluated its association with survival in primary lung malignancies. Methods: Embase, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception to 18 September 2026. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality In Prognosis Studies tool. Hazard ratios (HRs) were synthesized using random-effects models with restricted maximum likelihood estimation and Hartung-Knapp adjustment. Sensitivity analyses, subgroup analyses, and meta-regression examined robustness and heterogeneity. Results: Eleven studies contributed 13 cohorts to the overall survival (OS) analysis and 8 cohorts from seven studies to a combined recurrence/progression-free survival (RFS/PFS) analysis. Lower CALLY was associated with poorer OS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.49-2.12; I2=71.6%) and poorer RFS/PFS (HR 1.60, 95% CI 1.40-1.84; I2=0%). Associations persisted in leave-one-out analyses. No statistically significant subgroup differences were detected. Funnel-plot asymmetry suggested small-study effects for OS and RFS/PFS. Seven studies had moderate and four had high overall risk of bias. The certainty of evidence was rated as low for both OS and RFS/PFS, primarily due to risk of bias, heterogeneity, and endpoint indirectness. Conclusion: Lower CALLY was associated with adverse survival outcomes in the current synthesis. Methodological limitations and variation in biomarker measurement and endpoint definitions restrict interpretation. Prospective validation using standardized measurements and clinically coherent outcomes is needed to establish incremental prognostic value and clinical utility. Keywords: CALLY index; lung cancer; prognosis; overall survival; systematic review; meta-analysis

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The Th17/IL-17 Axis and Systemic Inflammatory Biomarkers in Sepsis-Associated Encephalopathy and Delirium: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Chaves Filho, A. M.; Nascimento, E. F.; Goncalves, L. D. C.; Dias Filho, F. J.; Oliveira, T. Q.; Macedo, D. S.; Dal-Pizzol, F.; de Moraes, M. E. A.; Barichello, T.

2026-10-21 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365073 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) and sepsis-associated delirium (SAD) lack confirmatory laboratory tests or biomarkers. We evaluated whether the Th17/interleukin (IL)-17 axis or neuroglial-injury biomarkers reflect acute brain dysfunction beyond systemic inflammation and whether biomarker profiles differ between these phenotypes. DATA SOURCES: EMBASE, MEDLINE/PubMed, and the Cochrane Library from inception to August 1, 2026, supplemented by backward and forward citation searching, following PRISMA 2020. STUDY SELECTION: Observational studies of adults with sepsis classified by SAE or SAD status and reporting circulating biomarker concentrations by neurological group or biomarker-outcome associations. Eighteen studies (2,388 participants; 1,863 with sepsis) were included. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently extracted study, phenotype, assay, and outcome data. Risk of bias was assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and certainty with GRADE. DATA SYNTHESIS: Random-effects models pooled standardized mean differences (SMDs) separately against non-septic and septic controls and odds ratios (ORs) for biomarker-outcome associations. IL-6 was the only mediator elevated in both comparative frameworks and associated with outcomes (non-septic controls: SMD, 0.54 [0.25-0.82]; septic controls: SMD, 1.05 [0.51-1.59]; OR, 1.85 [1.50-2.29]). S100B, neuron-specific enolase, IL-10, tumor necrosis factor; and interferon-gamma; were elevated versus septic controls, whereas IL-17 was modestly elevated only versus non-septic controls (SMD, 0.37 [0.01-0.73]). The IL-6 septic-control effect was concentrated in SAE (p<0.0001) and remained robust in leave-one-out and risk-of-bias sensitivity analyses. Certainty was low to very low, and all 14 computable prediction intervals included the null. CONCLUSIONS: IL-6 emerges as the leading circulating candidate biomarker of sepsis-associated brain dysfunction, while S100B and NSE capture neuroglial injury beyond sepsis. Current evidence does not establish a discriminating role for the Th17 axis. Future studies require standardized neurological phenotyping and appropriately matched septic controls to establish diagnostic value.

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Wide-angled proteomics in giant cell arteritis reveals complement pathway activation

Whittle, B. J.; Williams, M.; Lomax-Browne, H.; Sorensen, L.; Maughan, R. T.; Porteous, M.; Chakrabarty, A.; Luqmani, R. A.; Pickering, M. C.; Morgan, A. W.; Peters, J. E.

2026-10-15 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365544 medRxiv
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Giant cell arteritis (GCA) is an immune-mediated vasculitis that can cause serious morbidity including sight loss, stroke and aortic aneurysm. There is an unmet need for blood-based biomarkers and novel therapeutics. We measured plasma protein levels using the SomaScan v4.1 platform, comprising 7,273 protein measurements (SOMAmers) reflecting 6,596 unique protein targets. We profiled the proteome in 113 patients who presented acutely with possible GCA. 56 had biopsy-proven GCA and 57 did not have GCA (non-GCA). We found 144 SOMAmers increased and 151 reduced in GCA. Dysregulated biological pathways included IL6-JAK-STAT3 signalling, chemokines for both myeloid (e.g. CXCL2, CXCL3, CCL18, CCL23) and lymphoid cells (e.g. CXCL9, CXCL13), and the complement system (e.g. C9, CFHR5, C5a, Factor B). Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assays (ELISAs) confirmed elevated plasma levels of C5a, the terminal complement complex, Factor B and CFHR5 in GCA. We developed a 26-protein signature that distinguished GCA from non-GCA (area-under-the curve, AUC, 0.93) and validated the diagnostic signature in external datasets. Our data implicate terminal complement pathway activation in GCA, raising the possibility of complement-directed therapies. We show proof-of-principle that a multiplex protein biomarker could be used as a diagnostic adjunct in suspected GCA.

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To TTV or Not to TTV? A Combined Urinary Biomarker Approach in Kidney Transplant Recipients Using Torque Teno Virus, Cell-Free DNA, and BK Polyomavirus Measurements

Alhadid, Y.; Mamroth, M.; Wang, Z.; Castaneda, J.; Chadha, A.; Vlassov, A.; Chikova, A.

2026-10-15 transplantation 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365472 medRxiv
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Background: Noninvasive biomarkers capable of detecting kidney allograft injury and distinguishing rejection from infection remain an important clinical need. Torque teno virus (TTV) reflects host immune status, but its utility in urine has not been well established. We evaluated urinary TTV, total cell-free DNA (cfDNA), cfDNA fragmentation, and BK polyomavirus (BKV) as potential biomarkers of kidney transplant rejection and BK polyomavirus-associated nephropathy (BKPyVAN). Methods: Urine samples from 334 kidney transplant recipients were analyzed in association with kidney biopsies performed within 30 days of sample collection. TTV and cfDNA were measured by multiplex quantitative PCR (qPCR), with a subset analyzed by digital PCR (dPCR), and BKV was quantified by qPCR. Associations with biopsy results were evaluated using group comparisons and nominal logistic regression. Changes associated with outcomes of consecutive biopsies were assessed by matched pairs analysis. Results: Among 544 unique urine samples, the urinary TTV/cfDNA ratio was significantly lower in rejection than in non-rejection samples (P<0.0001). Logistic regression adjusted for demographic factors confirmed an inverse association between the qPCR-derived TTV/cfDNA metric and rejection (adjusted odds ratio per delta Cq, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.88-0.94; P<0.00001). Significant differences were observed for all types of rejection. Association was confirmed by dPCR: higher TTV was associated with lower rejection odds, whereas higher cfDNA was associated with greater rejection odds. A nominal logistic model incorporating dPCR measurements achieved an AUROC of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.82). Matched pairs analysis showed a significant decrease in TTV/cfDNA when rejection developed and an increase following recovery from rejection, with no significant changes when biopsy status remained unchanged. BKV levels were strongly associated with BKPyVAN. No correlation between TTV and BKV was observed. Nominal logistic regression integrating TTV, cfDNA, and BKV measurements yielded AUROCs of 0.75, 0.97, and 0.73 for rejection, BKPyVAN, and non-rejection, respectively. Conclusions: A reduced urinary TTV/cfDNA ratio is associated with biopsy-defined kidney transplant rejection, and changes in the ratio correlate with transitions in biopsy results. Combined TTV, cfDNA, and BKV measurements showed differential associations with rejection and BKPyVAN, supporting further evaluation as complementary urinary biomarkers.

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From Omics Data to Biological Context: The CURIE AI En-gine. Illustrated with the Transcriptomic Response to Bacte-rial Pneumonia

Castellani, G.; Rodriguez-Mena, A.; Tarrago-Claramunt, X.; Madarnas-Gomez, V.; Torres-Favier, Y.; Mendez-Viera, J.; MONLEON-GETINO, T.

2026-10-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365885 medRxiv
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High throughput sequencing necessitates robust computational tools to contextualize complex transcriptomic data. In this study, we analyzed RNA Seq data from peripheral blood of bacterial pneumonia patients and healthy controls (GEO GSE161731) to investigate systemic molecular responses to infection. Differential gene expression analysis identified significantly upregulated genes in pneumonia. We used GANGO for Gene Ontology (GO) term enrichment and BioFunctional for hierarchical exploration, providing an initial overview of affected biological processes. To deepen interpretation, we leveraged CURIE (www.curieai.tech ), an AI plat-form that cross-references GO terms with scientific literature. CURIE generates narrative explanations, link-ing molecular mechanisms, experimental evidence, and publications to each biological process, moving be-yond simple enrichment. Our combined analysis revealed a coordinated upregulation of pathways involved in DNA repair and replication, transcriptional activation, RNA processing, translation, ribosome biogenesis, mitochondrial respiration, and cofactor binding. By integrating these findings within a broad, literature-supported framework, we highlighted how multiple cellular compartments and processes collaborate to mount an effective response to infection-induced stress. This study underscores the potential of combining classical statistical enrichment with AI based interpretation for a holistic understanding of host-pathogen in-teractions at the transcriptomic level.

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Blood Cytokine Profiling Reveals Distinct Inflammatory Signatures in Phenotypes A and B of Polyendocrine Metabolic Ovarian Syndrome (PMOS; formerly PCOS).

Patra, L. P.; Johnson, B. S.; Jayakrishnan, K. P.; Pillai, S. M.; Laloraya, M.

2026-10-20 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.10.20.26365978 medRxiv
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Polyendocrine Metabolic Ovarian Syndrome (PMOS, formerly PCOS) is associated with chronic low-grade inflammation. This study aimed to characterize the peripheral cytokine landscape in women with PMOS and identify cytokines associated with disease pathogenesis and phenotypic variation. Plasma concentrations of 48 cytokines were quantified using a multiplex bead-based assay in 102 women with PMOS and 114 healthy controls. We performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, odds ratio estimation, correlation analysis, and network analyses to characterise cytokine alterations and identify phenotype-associated inflammatory signatures. Fourteen cytokines were significantly elevated in PMOS compared with healthy controls: IL-18, IL-1Ra, IL-12p70, IL-13, IL-16, MCP-1, MCP-3, CTACK, Eotaxin, RANTES, IP-10, M-CSF, HGF, and {beta}-NGF. ROC analysis identified IL-16, CTACK, and IP-10 as potential discriminators of phenotype A, whereas IL-18, M-CSF, and HGF demonstrated promising discriminatory performance for phenotype B. Odds ratio analysis identified 11 cytokines with odds ratios greater than 1, with IL-16 showing the strongest association with PMOS. Correlation analysis revealed 10 strongly correlated cytokine pairs (r [&ge;] 0.7) in the PMOS group, suggesting coordinated regulation of inflammatory mediators. Gene ontology and network analysis highlighted alterations in chemotaxis and immune cell migration pathways, implicating these processes in PMOS-associated immune dysregulation. These findings reveal a distinct peripheral inflammatory cytokine signature and phenotype-associated differences in PMOS. IL-16 emerged as a prominent candidate for further investigation, given its strong association with PMOS. Peripheral cytokine profiling may provide a minimally invasive approach to characterising immune alterations and identifying candidate biomarkers for disease characterisation and phenotype stratification.

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Peripheral Biomarkers and Determinants of Survival for Patients with Melanoma Brain Metastasis Treated with Immune Checkpoint Blockade

Hassan, J.; Little, M.; Farkas, A.; Mackay, S.; Coupe, N.; Middleton, M.; Payne, M. J.; Fairfax, B.

2026-10-21 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365947 medRxiv
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Background Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) has become the standard of treatment for metastatic melanoma (MM). However, patients with melanoma brain metastases (MBM) are often excluded from clinical trials. Here we analyse patients within the real-world OxCITE cohort receiving ICB treatment for metastatic melanoma, with a focus on MBM, aiming to discern outcomes, prognostic factors and peripheral biomarkers. Methods Patients eligible for ICB treatment were recruited prospectively. Demographic, clinical and radiological data were collected from electronic patient records. Plasma samples were collected prior to the first cycle of treatment for plasma proteomic analysis. Results 307 patients were included, 81 of whom had MBM on commencing ICB. No difference in overall survival between patients with and without brain metastases was noted on multivariable analysis (HR=1.1, 95% CI 0.73-1.6, p=0.68), whereas hepatic metastases were associated with increased risk of death (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.4, p=0.0019). Within the MBM group, steroid treatment (HR=2.5, 95% CI 1.3-5.0, p=0.006) was associated with poor OS, whilst treatment with single agent ICB (HR=1.9, 95% CI 0.86-3.9, p=0.11), symptomatic first presentation of MBM (HR=1.5, 95% CI 0.76-2.8, p=0.25) and anti-seizure drug treatment (HR=1.74, 95% CI 0.89-3.4, p=0.10) were not. Amongst all patients carriage of a BRAF mutation was associated with increased risk of MBM (OR 2.49, 95% CI 1.4-4.4, p=0.0007), and increased propensity to new brain metastases on ICB treatment (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1-5.9, p=0.036). Analysis of blood and plasma samples demonstrated that patients with MBM have altered haematological profiles, with raised NLR and increased plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein levels, reinforcing the distinct systemic features of MBM. Conclusions In this real-world cohort of patients receiving ICB for metastatic melanoma, the presence of MBM did not associate with worse OS. Conversely, baseline corticosteroid use was adversely prognostic. Intriguingly, plasma GFAP was significantly elevated in patients with MBM and correlated with the burden of intracranial disease, highlighting a potential role for GFAP as a candidate biomarker for MBM in high-risk surveillance. Our observations indicate the adversely prognostic weight historically attached to M1d disease is no longer applicable in the ICB era.

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Short telomeres, but not accelerated epigenetic or proteomic age, increase fibrotic lung disease risk: Mendelian randomisation with pleiotropy dissection and independent replication

Hanke, S.

2026-10-15 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.10.14.26364960 medRxiv
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Background. Short telomeres are an established cause of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but the genetic evidence rests on seven instruments, six of which lie at telomere-maintenance loci, and so cannot separate an effect of telomere length from an effect of the telomerase pathway itself - a distinction that determines whether telomere length is a tractable target or only a marker of the pathway. Whether other measures of biological ageing share the effect, and whether accelerated ageing causes immune-mediated disease more generally, has not been tested systematically. Methods. Two-sample Mendelian randomisation of six ageing measures - GrimAge, PhenoAge, Hannum-age and intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration, proteomic age acceleration, and leukocyte telomere length - against six immune-mediated diseases in FinnGen R12: giant cell arteritis (GCA), polymyalgia rheumatica, primary Sjoegren's disease, interstitial lung disease (ILD), Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. All 36 pairs were analysed in both directions using inverse-variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger, weighted-median and weighted-mode estimators, with Cochran's Q, I2, leave-one-out and single-variant diagnostics, a pre-specified analysis excluding HLA-region instruments, and iterative Q-based outlier removal. Instruments were annotated against telomere-maintenance and pulmonary-fibrosis loci and that class excluded. Minimum detectable effects were computed for every pair before estimates were examined. Any pair surviving correction was re-estimated in two independent IPF case-control datasets. A two-step analysis tested mediation of ILD risk by seven gut microbial taxa acting through telomere length. Results. One of 36 forward pairs survived correction. Longer telomeres reduced ILD risk: outlier-robust IVW odds ratio (OR) 0.59 per standard deviation (SD), 95% CI 0.49-0.71, p = 2.7 x 10^-8, on 77 instruments, with no residual heterogeneity (I2 = 6%) and concordance across estimators. Four pleiotropic instruments - in TERT, TERC, APOE and ATM - inflated the unfiltered estimate to OR 0.46 (0.37-0.57) and accounted for all of its heterogeneity. The effect was reproduced in 5,159 clinician-diagnosed European IPF cases (OR 0.18, 0.12-0.25, p = 5.0 x 10^-23) and in 1,210 East Asian cases (OR 0.54, 0.35-0.83, p = 0.005). Excluding every telomere-maintenance and pulmonary-fibrosis locus left OR 0.26 (0.17-0.40), p = 1.6 x 10^-9, on 72 instruments, establishing that the effect does not depend on TERT or TERC. The effect was three times larger for clinically defined IPF than for the broad registry ILD endpoint (p = 1.8 x 10^-9), consistent with dilution of a fibrosis-specific mechanism by case mix. No methylation clock and no proteomic age measure affected any disease; smallest detectable ORs ranged from 1.29 to 5.24 per SD, so these nulls exclude only large effects. The reverse direction could not be tested at informative precision. One apparent clock-autoimmunity association was produced entirely by a single HLA-region instrument. Mediation was null at its first step. Conclusions. Telomere attrition causally increases fibrotic lung disease risk, with an effect that concentrates in clinically defined IPF and that survives removal of every telomere-maintenance locus - shown here for the first time - and is therefore attributable to telomere length rather than to the telomerase genes that dominate conventional instrument sets. Four methylation clocks and proteomic age acceleration show no such effect, so these measures cannot be treated as interchangeable proxies for biological ageing.

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Multiple Organ Dysfunction Trajectory Phenotypes After Severe Trauma Are Associated With Distinct Immune Profiles and Outcomes

Ding, H.; Cox, M.; Qiu, Q.; Mirabadi, N.; Bobrovnikov, D.; Gerbino, K.; Scherler, K.; Walters, K.; O'Keefe, G.; Brakenridge, S.

2026-10-19 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365695 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND Traditional organ dysfunction classifications after severe trauma rely on binary categories (e.g., chronic critical illness [CCI] versus rapid recovery), which likely oversimplify the true heterogeneity of postinjury organ dysfunction trajectories and their underlying immune-biologic drivers. We hypothesized that severely injured trauma patients demonstrate multiple, distinct organ dysfunction phenotypes distinguished by unique immune signatures. METHODS We performed a prospective, longitudinal, observational cohort study of severely injured trauma patients at high risk for multiple organ dysfunction at a single Level 1 trauma center. Organ dysfunction was quantified daily through 28 days, death, or discharge using a trauma-specific modified Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (mSOFA) score excluding the neurologic subdomain to isolate systemic organ dysfunction from traumatic brain injury. We utilized group-based trajectory modeling to identify longitudinal mSOFA phenotypes. Plasma immune protein trajectories were compared across phenotypes using mixed-effects models with time interaction. RESULTS Sixty-nine patients were enrolled. Trajectory modeling identified five mSOFA phenotypes (c1-c5) with differences in resuscitation requirements, shock severity, and 28-day mortality, but not baseline demographics, injury severity, or early physiologic parameters. The phenotypes revealed organ dysfunction heterogeneity not fully captured by CCI/rapid recovery classification. Forty of 92 measured immune markers showed phenotype-differentiated trajectories (FDR<0.1). The most fulminant phenotype (c5) was distinguished by IL-17C, CXCL5, and CXCL6, implicating epithelial-barrier and neutrophil-trafficking mechanisms. The phenotype with highest CCI incidence (c3) was distinguished by rising CXCL9, ARTN, and TWEAK, implicating Th1 polarization and tissue-inflammation/repair signaling. The clinically distinct, older-age phenotype (c4) carried the largest differentiating signature (29 proteins), spanning renal injury/repair, endothelial activation, and adaptive lymphocyte modulation. CONCLUSIONS Organ dysfunction after severe trauma is more biologically heterogeneous than traditional clinical classifications suggest. Distinct mSOFA trajectory phenotypes correspond to distinct immune signatures, supporting separable pathobiology rather than a single axis of injury severity, with implications for phenotype-targeted precision immunomodulatory approaches in critical illness.

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Validation of the Qualisex Questionnaire for Psychometric Assessment of Sexual Health in Lichen Sclerosus

Samela, T.; Priori, R.; Colonna, L.; Zozi, L.; Gallo, V.; Assorgi, C.; Garcovich, S.; Paganelli, A.

2026-10-19 dermatology 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365725 medRxiv
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Introduction: Lichen sclerosus (LS) is a chronic inflammatory dermatosis predominantly affecting the anogenital region of both women and men. Sexual dysfunction remains among the most debilitating and overlooked consequences of the disease, as available patient-reported outcome measures are either restricted to one sex or capture sexual health only partially. The aim of the present work is to validate the Qualisex questionnaire (in its the Italian version) in patients with LS and to evaluate its psychometric properties, factor structure, convergent, discriminant validity, and sex symmetry. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted on 211 patients (167 women, 44 men; mean age 52.9 years) with a confirmed diagnosis of LS. Participants completed the Italian Qualisex, Skindex-29, DASS-21, and sexual-health-specific scales, the Female Sexual Function Index (FSFI) for women, and the International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF) for men. Construct validity was assessed via Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and reliability via Cronbach's alpha. Convergent and discriminant validities were evaluated against standard psychometric batteries. Results: Item 2 was removed due to low communality (0.167). PCA on the remaining 9 items revealed a two-factor structure accounting for 72.5% of total variance: Component 1 (Sexual Functioning and Satisfaction, 59.89%) and Component 2 (Partner Devaluation, 12.66%). Internal consistency was high (alpha= 0.911 overall; alpha= 0.841 in women; alpha= 0.899 in men). Qualisex scores correlated strongly with Skindex-29 Social Functioning (r = 0.582) and Emotions (r = 0.531) subscales, as well as FSFI (r = -0.391) and IIEF (alpha= -0.566). Discriminant validity was supported by low-to-moderate correlations with DASS-21 domains (r < 0.38). While FSFI and IIEF showed significant negative correlations with age (p = 0.002), Qualisex remained age-independent across sexes (p > 0.05). Conclusion. The 9-item Italian Qualisex is a reliable, sex-symmetrical, and age-independent patient-reported outcome measure for assessing sexual health impairment in LS, successfully isolating disease-specific distress from physiological aging and general distress.

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Plasma proteomic profiling identifies country-specific diversity in visceral leishmaniasis patients across East Africa

Cunha, J.; Addisu, A.; Matano, D.; Younis, B.; Bayiyana, A.; Kumar, R.; Tiwari, R.; Engel, J.; Hogg, K.; Wiggins, R.; Biwott, W.; Osuna, F.; Ichugu, C.; Zeleke, A. J.; Ayele, E.; Sande, O. J.; Khalil, E. A. G.; Ibrahim, H. M. H.; Mahmoud, M. A.; Zakaria, A. I. B.; Adiko, B.; The Immstat@Cure Consortium, ; O'Toole, P.; D'Alessio, F.; Lacey, C. J. N.; Engwerda, C. R.; Sundar, S.; Mbui, J.; Hailu, A.; Mbuchi, M.; Musa, A.; Olobo, J.; Kaye, P. M.

2026-10-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365713 medRxiv
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Background: Visceral leishmaniasis (VL) is the most severe form of leishmaniasis and is caused by parasites from the Leishmania donovani complex. VL is endemic in 54 countries, with East Africa (EA) accounting for [~]70% of the global burden. Therefore, there is a pressing need to prioritize VL research in EA. Transcriptomics analysis in rodent models and patients following treatment have shown that immune homeostasis is not restored by the end of treatment. However, comprehensive proteomic studies in VL remain scarce, and the few available studies were conducted outside EA. Methodology/Principal Findings: As a part of ImmStat@cure consortium, we used the Olink Reveal proximity extension assay to profile circulating proteins in VL patients from Ethiopia, Kenya and Sudan. By comparing patients at admission and 17 days after treatment with SSG-PM, we have identified a systemic Th1-cytotoxic inflammatory profile at admission, characterized by high abundance of IFN{gamma}, IL-1B, IL-6, and the granzymes A and B. Chemokines with high abundance included CXCL8/10/11, CCL3, CCL4, CCL8, CXCL8 and CCL20, consistent with the recruitment of monocytes, macrophages, T cells, and NK cells. There were also evidence of immune regulation/exhaustion, with high levels of PD1, PD-L2, IDO1 and KYNU. Although the immune profiles were similar at admission, country specific differences were observed after treatment. Kenyan patients exhibited a sustained inflammatory profile and signatures of myeloid recruitment, characterized by high levels of IL-1B, IL-6 , IL-12A, CXCL8, CCL2, CCL3, CCL4, CCL7 and CEBPB. Sudanese patients showed signatures associated with lymphocyte activation and immune regulation. Conclusions/Significance: These results highlight the complexity of the immune changes associated with VL, identifying both core conserved profiles at admission and country-specific profiles after treatment. The data provided here will provide a valuable resource for future comparative studies across more diverse different geographic regions, for linkage studies that assess the impact of parasite genotype on immune / metabolic response and for use during the evaluation of new therapies against VL.

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Host Determinants of Adjuvant Chemotherapy Initiation and Survival in Upper Gastrointestinal Adenocarcinoma

Jiao, B.; Alotaibi, S.; Abumelha, K.; Tankel, J.; Ferri, L.; Asselah, J.; Alcindor, T.; Mueller, C.; Rousseau, M.; Soldera, S.; Lee, L.; Bertos, N.; Dehghani, M.; Ma, K. A.; Cools-Lartigue, J.

2026-10-15 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365477 medRxiv
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Introduction: Perioperative systemic therapy improves outcomes in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma, but many patients do not receive postoperative treatment. We examined whether host characteristics and perioperative inflammatory and albumin changes provided information about adjuvant initiation beyond tumour pathology, and whether initiation was associated with survival and disease control. Method: This retrospective cohort included patients undergoing curative-intent resection for gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma at the McGill University Health Centre between 2006 and 2025. Sequential logistic models evaluated pathological characteristics, pre-treatment host variables and perioperative changes in CBC-derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (cNLR) and albumin. Postoperative measurements preceded adjuvant initiation. Nested comparisons used matched complete cases. Day-90 landmark and time-varying Cox models assessed associations between adjuvant initiation and survival. Results: Among 243 patients, 78 (32.1%) did not initiate adjuvant therapy. Adding host variables improved apparent discrimination for initiation beyond pathology (AUC 0.672 to 0.763; P=0.002). Greater perioperative cNLR increase was associated with lower odds of initiation (adjusted OR 0.67 per unit increase in {Delta}log2; cNLR, 95% CI 0.47-0.95), whereas more favourable albumin change was associated with higher odds (OR 1.07 per g/L, 95% CI 1.01-1.13). Neither marker retained a clear independent association when modelled together. Adjuvant initiation by day 90 was associated with longer overall survival (adjusted HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.36-0.78) and disease-free survival (HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.39-0.84), with similar time-varying findings. Conclusion: Host inflammatory and albumin changes added information about adjuvant initiation beyond tumour pathology, and initiation was associated with longer survival. Prospective evaluation should determine whether host-directed perioperative strategies can improve postoperative treatment delivery.

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Maternal body mass index in early pregnancy and offspring risk of multiple sclerosis: A population-based cohort study

Xu, H.; Razaz, N.; Remaeus, K.; Lee, J.; Fink, K.; McKay, K. A.

2026-10-16 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365617 medRxiv
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Objective To examine whether prospectively recorded maternal BMI in early pregnancy is associated with offspring multiple sclerosis (MS) risk, including childhood-onset and adult-onset MS. Design Nationwide population-based cohort study. Setting Swedish national health and demographic registers. Participants 1,524,863 singleton children born in Sweden from 1992 to 2007 and followed through 2025. Exposures Maternal BMI recorded at the first antenatal visit, categorised as underweight (<18.5), normal weight (18.5-24.9), overweight (25.0-29.9), and obesity ([&ge;]30.0), and also modelled continuously. Main outcome measures MS in offspring, identified as at least three ICD-10 G35 codes recorded on separate dates. Cox models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusting for confounders. Results During follow-up, 1539 offspring (0.1%) were diagnosed with MS at a median age of 24 years (interquartile range, 20-27 years). MS incidence rates by maternal BMI category were 0.37 per 10,000 person-years for both underweight, and normal weight, 0.42 for overweight, and 0.45 for obesity. Compared with normal weight women, maternal overweight and obesity were associated with higher hazards of offspring MS, with adjusted HRs of 1.20 (95% CI, 1.05 to 1.37) and 1.35 (95% CI, 1.11 to 1.64), respectively. Onset-specific analyses showed similar findings for adult-onset MS and less precise but directionally consistent estimates for paediatric-onset MS. Each 1-unit increase in maternal BMI was associated with a 3%, 4%, and 3% higher hazard of overall, paediatric-onset, and adult-onset offspring MS, respectively. Conclusions In this population-based cohort study, higher maternal BMI were associated with an increased rate of MS in offspring. The findings provide large-scale prospective evidence that maternal adiposity may be related to offspring MS risk and support further investigation of the prenatal metabolic environment in the early-life origins of MS.

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Longitudinal Filovirus Seroreactivity Following Ad26.ZEBOV (Zabdeno) and MVA-BN-Filo (Mvabea) Vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Wallace, H. L.; Halbrook, M. L.; Kompany, J. P.; Hoff, N. A.; Merritt, S.; Mukadi, P.; Beya, M.; Kalengi, H.; Tambu, M.; Mossoko, Z.; Kelly, J. D.; Ball, A. H.; To, A.; Wong, T.; Kavunga-Membo, H.; Hensley, L. E.; Lehrer, A. T.; Kindrachuk, J.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.

2026-10-19 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365698 medRxiv
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Background: Filoviruses, specifically Ebola virus (EBOV), Bundibugyo virus (BDBV), and Marburg virus (MARV), have been the etiologic agents of multiple outbreaks of severe disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). Two EBOV-specific vaccine regimens have been approved for use in outbreak scenarios, including the Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo (Zabdeno/Mvabea) two-dose vaccine, where the MVA-BN-Filo booster dose contains EBOV, MARV, and Sudan (SUDV) virus glycoproteins (GPs) and the nucleoprotein from Tai Forest virus. While long-term immunogenicity of up to two years has been found in clinical trial settings, limited real-world data exists. Methods: Using a multiplexed immunoassay, samples (n=698 at baseline) collected in Mbandaka, Equateur province, DRC, between September 2023 and October 2024 were assessed for seroreactivity to six filovirus antigens (1 BDBV, 2 EBOV, 2 MARV, and 1 SUDV) at three distinct periods: baseline/pre-vaccination, 6-8 weeks post-first dose (Zabdeno), at booster administration (Mvabea), and one-year post-boost dose. Results: Substantial filovirus seroreactivity was found at baseline, with 48.7% (n=340/698) of individuals being seroreactive to at least one virus antigen. High baseline seroreactivity was found against BDBV GP (31.1%, n=217/698), with lower baseline seroreactivity to EBOV GP (15.5%, n=106/698), comparatively. Overall EBOV GP seroreactivity increased to 66.8% (n=376/563) at one year-post vaccine boost and 57.6% (n=250/434) of participants were seroreactive. Despite the booster dose inclusion of SUDV GP and MARV GP, there were no substantial increases in reactivity against either antigen at subsequent timepoints. Overall filovirus seroreactivity increased at all timepoints for the entire cohort, although filovirus reactivity decreased over the study period for those who were seroreactive at baseline. Findings: These data highlight detection of significantly elevated seoreactivity to EBOV GP following first-dose administration of Ad26.ZEBOV, which remained relatively stable one-year post-booster dose administration. Additionally, this study identifies high levels of baseline seroreactivity to BDBV GP despite no previous documented outbreaks in this region of DRC. These data suggest that vaccination with the Ad26.ZEBOV-MVA-BN-Filo vaccine induces stable seroreactivity against EBOV GP, but not to other filovirus antigens.

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First-in-human trial in Burkinabe adults and children of replication-competent, genetically attenuated PfSPZ-LARC2 Vaccine for malaria

Sirima, S. B.; Richie, T. L.; Ouedraogo, A.; Soulama, B. I.; Zou, A. R.; Nebie, I.; KC, N.; Camargo, N.; Goswami, D.; Kabore, J. M. T.; Kirakoya, N.; Mbaiasra, R. K.; Ezinmegnon, S.; Badoum, E. S.; Ouedraogo, S. Y.; Henry, N. B.; Yaro, J. B.; Mabuka, T.; Murshedkar, T.; Abebe, Y.; Perez, D.; James, E. R.; Minkah, N.; Vaughan, A. M.; Laurens, M. B.; Sim, B. K. L.; Kappe, S. H. I.; Tiono, A. B.; Hoffman, S. L.

2026-10-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365330 medRxiv
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The World Health Organization has called for malaria vaccines with > 90% efficacy against Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) infection. The live, non-attenuated PfSPZ-CVac (chloroquine) vaccine provides the strongest protection against controlled human malaria infection (CHMI). Its 100% protective efficacy at 12 weeks against genetically distant Pf stems from a highly amplified immune stimulus. After inoculation, each invading sporozoite (SPZ) replicates up to 50,000 times within a hepatocyte. Over six days of development, these parasites express thousands of distinct proteins, presenting a vast and diverse array of antigens to the host immune system. The late liver stage parasites then rupture into the bloodstream, where they are killed by the co-administered drug, chloroquine. To engineer a Pf parasite that develops to the late liver stage like PfSPZ-CVac (chloroquine), but then arrests before transitioning to the blood stage, two genes required for transition from non-pathogenic liver to pathogenic blood stages were identified and deleted, creating late-liver stage arresting, replication-competent (LARC) PfSPZ. In a first-in-human, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial, we assessed PfSPZ-LARC2 Vaccine in 75 malaria-exposed Burkinabe 1- to 48-year-olds. No vaccine-strain breakthrough blood-stage infections were detected; safety and tolerability profiles were similar in vaccinees and placebo recipients; and the highest immunogenicity was observed in the youngest recipients. Based on these findings, PfSPZ-LARC2 Vaccine has progressed to Phase 2 testing with the goal of rapidly advancing this genetically attenuated whole parasite vaccine to licensure and deployment.

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Does the Disease-free Survival Benefit of Adding Belzutifan to Adjuvant Pembrolizumab Persist Beyond the Planned Treatment Period? A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Analysis of Phase 3 Renal Cell Carcinoma Trials

Chang, H.-H.; Chang, C.-K.; Tang, T.-Y.; Jhan, J.-H.; Dong, S.-W.; Juan, Y.-S.; Geng, J.-H.; Ou, H.-C.; Lee, H.-Y.; Li, C.-Y.; Yeh, H.-C.; Leong, M.-K.; Liu, C.-H.; Lee, Y.-C.; Huang, S.-P.

2026-10-16 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365591 medRxiv
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Background and Objective: Adding belzutifan to adjuvant pembrolizumab improved disease-free survival (DFS) in LITESPARK-022, but its durability beyond the 1-year treatment is unknown. Methods: Following a registered plan, we reconstructed individual patient data from published Kaplan-Meier curves of ten phase 3 adjuvant renal cell carcinoma trials. Within each trial, we estimated restricted mean survival time differences ({Delta}RMST), hazard ratios (HRs) before and after planned treatment ended, and DFS differences. Key Findings and Limitations: In LITESPARK-022 (central review), the 24-month {Delta}RMST was 1.34 months (95% confidence interval 0.73-1.95), and the belzutifan arm remained ahead after month 12 ({Delta}RMST increment 0.74 months/yr, 0.32-1.19). The HR was 0.55 (0.43-0.71) before month 12 and 1.16 (0.87-1.54) afterwards (post/pre ratio 2.10); investigator assessment showed similar attenuation. Similar ratios occurred in KEYNOTE-564 at its first interim analysis (2.02), whose benefit persisted, and in SORCE and PROTECT (2.09, 2.59), whose benefit faded. From months 12 to 30 (post hoc), the DFS difference changed by -3.7 percentage points (-8.1 to 0.8) with central review and 0.6 (-4.0 to 5.0) with investigator assessment. Data were reconstructed, and follow-up was short. Conclusions and Clinical Implications: Relative hazard reductions with belzutifan were greater before month 12; durability of the absolute DFS advantage is uncertain and assessment-dependent, so single-HR projections should be avoided.

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Clonal hematopoiesis and cell-free DNA characteristics in patients with high-risk large B-cell lymphomas

Nylen, M.; Meriranta, L.; Hiitola, E.; Arffman, M.; Holte, H.; Joergensen, J.; Brown, P.; Jyrkkio, S.; Jerkeman, M.; Drott, K.; Fluge, O.; Bjorkholm, M.; Pedersen, L. M.; Eriksson, M.; Mustjoki, S.; Leppa, S.; Myllymaki, M.

2026-10-15 hematology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365378 medRxiv
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Clonal hematopoiesis (CH) can predict treatment outcomes in solid cancers, but the prevalence and clinical impact of CH in previously untreated, aggressive large B-cell lymphomas (LBCL) remains poorly characterized. Moreover, CH may be detected in cell-free DNA (cfDNA)-based biomarker assays, but the longitudinal dynamics of CH mutations during and after immunochemotherapy in LBCL remain unknown. Hence, we characterized the spectrum of CH mutations in 247 patients with high-risk primary LBCL from three phase II clinical trials. We identified CH mutations in 23% of patients. Compared with healthy controls, TET2 mutations were enriched in peripheral blood (PB) samples of LBCL patients (P=0.01). CH clone size showed high concordance between PB and cfDNA (R2=0.59, P<0.0001) but was not associated with circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) concentration (P-values 0.25-0.86). In contrast with prior reports in the context of recurrent lymphoma, CH mutation status was not associated with overall survival (OS) (P=0.78) or progression-free survival (PFS) (P=0.89) in our primary LBCL cohort. CH clones showed variable longitudinal dynamics during immunochemotherapy, with 18% of evaluable patients developing mutant CH clones, mostly with TP53/PPM1D mutations. Together, CH mutations can be readily detected in cfDNA of lymphoma patients, but they do not predict survival in primary high-risk LBCL.

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Genetic ancestry shapes context-dependent immune regulation across Indigenous South American populations

Choy, C.; Vicuna, L.; Patino, M.; Araujo, D. S.; Obispo, D.; Guevara-Fujita, M. L.; Fonseca, S.; Scariot, D.; Araujo, C.; Guerreiro, J. R.; Acosta, O.; Johnson, C.; Meier, K.; Dumaine, A.; Williams, K.; Lima, T.; Rodrigues, T.; Khayat, A.; Wu, E.; Gupta, A.; Aguirre-Gamboa, R.; Chak, B.; Barroso-Batista, J.; Capetillo, F.; Marcelain, K.; Fuentes, I.; Gonzalez, J.; Beltran, P.; Flores, Y.; Coronel, T.; Latorre, J.; Boutaud, J.; Mickelson, C. K.; Langlois, R.; Scott, E.; Guerreiro, J.; Hünemeier, T.; Fujita, R.; Barreiro, L. B.

2026-10-21 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.10.21.26365630 medRxiv
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Human immune responses remain poorly characterized across Indigenous South American (ISA) populations, limiting our understanding of human immune variation. Here, we generated a single-cell transcriptional atlas of 1.4 million peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 345 individuals representing 13 South American populations, profiled at baseline and following stimulation with lipopolysaccharide, influenza A virus, or Trypanosoma cruzi. Genetic ancestry was associated with the expression of a large fraction of the transcriptome, often only after stimulation, and explained more variation than age or sex. On average, cis-eQTLs accounted for one-quarter of these ancestry-associated differences. Thousands of regulatory variants were common in ISA populations but rare or absent in European reference datasets. Integrating eQTLs with GWAS revealed stimulation-specific disease-associated regulatory variants and an enrichment of ancestry-associated expression differences among genes with colocalizing signals. Our findings highlight the importance of studying diverse populations across immune contexts to understand the genetic architecture of human immune responses.

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Persistent gut microbiota alterations after ischemic stroke are modifiable by probiotic intervention

Melton, P.; Sorbie, A.; Aho, V. T. E.; Haslinger, C.; Zimmermann, M.; Marut, W.; Jaeger, C.; Wilmes, P.; Benakis, C.; Liesz, A.

2026-10-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365107 medRxiv
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The gut-brain axis has emerged as a critical modulator in neurological diseases, including stroke. While acute post-stroke dysbiosis is well established, it remains unclear whether these alterations persist long-term and can be therapeutically modulated. This study addresses this gap through integrated metagenomic and metabolomic profiling in two independent clinical stroke cohorts, complemented by experimental models. Experimental stroke induced persistent changes in gut microbiota composition and altered short-chain fatty acid profiles. In patients, microbiota composition remained distinct from controls up to three months after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA), accompanied by persistent reductions in propionic and valeric acid and reduced abundance of Prevotella-associated microbial signatures. We performed a randomized, double-blind interventional trial (PRISE) testing a multispecies probiotic versus placebo, using household members as additional controls. Probiotic intervention led to microbiome compositional changes with increased abundance of beneficial taxa and significantly improved functional recovery. The tested probiotic strains showed anti-inflammatory and antioxidant effects in vitro. These findings suggest that targeted modulation of the microbiome represents a promising therapeutic avenue to improve chronic stroke recovery, warranting validation in larger Phase III clinical trials.

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Recurrence patterns and adjuvant therapy in endometrioid early-stage endometrial cancer with a p53-abnormal pattern

Lee, S. h.; Karimah, P. D.; KIM, K.; Kim, S. I.; Hwang, W. Y.; Kim, M. K.; Kim, J.-H.; Choi, C. H.; Lee, Y.-K.

2026-10-16 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365577 medRxiv
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Objective: Current guidelines recommend different adjuvant treatment strategies for women with endometrioid early stage endometrial cancer exhibiting a p53 abnormal pattern. We aimed to evaluate recurrence patterns and explore the clinical implications for adjuvant therapy in this population. Materials and methods: This multicenter retrospective study included 86 patients with endometrioid, p53 abnormal, FIGO stage I, II endometrial cancer treated between 2013 and 2023 at six hospitals in the Republic of Korea. Clinicopathologic data were collected through medical record review. Progression free survival (PFS) was estimated using the Kaplan Meier method, and prognostic factors were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: The 12, 24, and 36 month PFS rates were 91%, 78%, and 76%, respectively. Among the 16 patients who experienced recurrence, 12 (75%) had distant metastases. Adjuvant chemotherapy showed a trend toward improved PFS compared with adjuvant radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy (p=0.10). In multivariable analysis, the p53 overexpression pattern was independently associated with worse PFS compared with the p53 null pattern (HR 8.59, 95% CI 1.61 to 45.79, p=0.01). Conclusion: Given the poor PFS, the predominance of distant recurrence and the observed trend toward improved PFS with chemotherapy, adjuvant chemotherapy may be considered in women with endometrioid early stage endometrial cancer exhibiting a p53 abnormal pattern. Further studies are warranted to clarify the prognostic impact of p53 abnormality subtypes.